Oklahoma May Catch a Small Break Before Saturday Storms

It's day two of this weekend's multi-day severe weather breakout, and with the changing forecast, things may be looking up for most of Oklahoma. Well, for today anyway. The risks ramp back up on Saturday.

You know the forecast never stays the same day to day, or even hour to hour, the potential for this storm complex is following that trend.

Risks are easing in some parts of the state, growing in others, but for the most part, forecasters are optimistic that while we have all of the ingredients for a big outbreak, the conditions don't seem to be pointing that direction.

Here's the layout for today and the weekend.

Friday

The area of Oklahoma they're focused on is mainly Southeastern Oklahoma. And while the risk for large hail is ever-present, those odds seem to be trending into Arkansas, Texas, and Louisiana for today.

Does that mean SEOK is safe? Of course not. It all hangs on if the storms can fire up. The same odds as Northern OK had yesterday when this monster tore across South Enid.

@megabogz Spring time in Oklahoma! Hoping everyone is ok! #oklahoma #weather #tornado #daividpayne @News 9 ♬ original sound - Megabogz

That's great news for Oklahoma. This spring has already battered us all. We're due for a break.

Unfortunately, we're gonna have to get a rain check on that.

Saturday

The main area of elevated concern will put Tulsa right in the center of the action, and extend outward in a circle into Kansas, Missouri, and Arkansas, but also into deep Southern and Southwest Oklahoma to a lesser extent.

We don't see storm prediction maps like this very often. It's worth taking note.

Large storms, big hail and wind, but low tornado risks.

Sunday

Sunday pushes the enhaced are back up into Kansas, but extends the broader risk area in all directions.

All severe weather hazards are possible, but the predictions put the odds around 15% for any given area. Plan for the worst, hope for the best.

Monday

Even better, the forecast for Monday has now shifted further east too. Eastern Oklahoma, at this moment, is no longer included in the fifth day of this storm cycle.

After this wraps up next week, the forecast is looking pretty quiet for a while. A chance of rain in portions of the Sooner State a few days next week, but not severe storms. After five severe weather weekends in a row, we'll get a much-deserved break for a while.